Monday, July 15, 2013

The Phillies have a great chance of making the Postseason


This year at the All Star Break the Phillies are at .500 with a record of 48-48. This has them 5.5 games out of the division lead and 5.5 games out of the wildcard. This can be expected of the Team with the amount of injuries and a horrible bullpen. But, this slow start has been the case for the past few years. With Charlie Manuel, the team is not historically good in the first half. In Charlie’s eight seasons the team is 335-313 in the first half of the season. This adds up to a .517 winning percentage. For, example last year we were 42-54 at this point in the season. The team was 10.5 games out of the wild card and 14 games out of the division. At this point we were last place in the division with the eighth worst record in the league. We had half of a percent chance of making the post season. By the end of the year we were only seven games back from the postseason.
This year we have a 6.3% chance of making the postseason while the Nationals, who are a half a game ahead of us in the standings, have a 21.6% chance of making the playoffs. We are playing better than the Nationals, so we should both have the same chance to make it to the postseason. Or maybe the MLB is just obsessed with Harper and think he will lead the Nats to the postseason. I don't care what the critics say. We have the same chances as Washington, maybe even better chances to make a run at the postseason. Especially, when you look at the team’s record in the second half. With Charlie Manuel, the team is 392-256. This is an amazing .605 winning percentage. This results into an average 49-32 record. But, out of the past 3 of 4 years the team has won more than 50 games. Looking at this the team can finish with 90 plus wins if they get a good run going. At the All Star Game we are fifteen games past the half way point. At 81 games our record was 39-42. The improvement in play is starting to show with the teams record in the last ten games of 7-3. Get ready Phillies phans, this team is not ready to give up and sell off the older players. Look for then to add a few bullpen arms and an outfielder at the trade deadline. This could mean a return of Hunter Pence to Philly. Lets get ready for the two and a half months of baseball we have left

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